Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.035003 0.040481 0.046548 0.053769 0.062134 0.071523 0.082872
2026-01-25 0.027041 0.034407 0.043380 0.055132 0.070141 0.088700 0.113450
2026-02-01 0.021136 0.028918 0.039113 0.053476 0.073242 0.099571 0.137447
2026-02-08 0.017585 0.025531 0.036579 0.053105 0.077292 0.111544 0.164008
2026-02-15 0.014956 0.022849 0.034397 0.052588 0.080661 0.122579 0.190369
2026-02-22 0.013270 0.021214 0.033378 0.053443 0.085914 0.136752 0.223079
2026-03-01 0.011681 0.019454 0.031856 0.053187 0.089225 0.148132 0.252704
2026-03-08 0.010157 0.017563 0.029832 0.051758 0.090296 0.155835 0.277042
2026-03-15 0.008875 0.015890 0.027925 0.050214 0.090862 0.162591 0.300420
2026-03-22 0.008164 0.015110 0.027429 0.051035 0.095626 0.177143 0.339625
2026-03-29 0.007469 0.014262 0.026695 0.051296 0.099338 0.190150 0.377553
2026-04-05 0.006842 0.013458 0.025933 0.051384 0.102683 0.202790 0.416334
2026-04-12 0.006347 0.012858 0.025507 0.052113 0.107467 0.218988 0.464921
2026-04-19 0.005967 0.012443 0.025393 0.053456 0.113677 0.238846 0.524014
2026-04-26 0.005335 0.011429 0.023950 0.051855 0.113504 0.245458 0.555443
2026-05-03 0.004893 0.010761 0.023142 0.051497 0.115940 0.257885 0.601485
2026-05-10 0.004488 0.010123 0.022320 0.050996 0.117977 0.269647 0.647583
2026-05-17 0.004231 0.009783 0.022103 0.051825 0.123139 0.289069 0.714494
2026-05-24 0.003919 0.009278 0.021458 0.051577 0.125729 0.302818 0.769466
2026-05-31 0.003561 0.008622 0.020391 0.050192 0.125391 0.309524 0.807655
2026-06-07 0.003232 0.008000 0.019333 0.048696 0.124584 0.314968 0.843341
2026-06-14 0.003072 0.007773 0.019198 0.049491 0.129694 0.335886 0.923085
2026-06-21 0.002894 0.007480 0.018868 0.049744 0.133424 0.353720 0.996996